Accelerated continental-scale snowmelt and ecohydrological impacts in the four largest Siberian river basins in response to spring warming     

Kazuyoshi Suzuki  Tetsuya Hiyama  Koji Matsuo  Kazuhito Ichii  Yoshihiro Iijima  Dai Yamazaki 《水文研究》2020,34(19):3867-3881

River runoff from the four largest Siberian river basins (the Ob, Yenisei, Lena, and Kolyma) considerably contributes to freshwater flux into the Arctic Ocean from the Eurasian continent. However, the effects of variation in snow cover fraction on the ecohydrological variations in these basins are not well understood. In this study, we analysed the spatiotemporal variability of the maximum snow cover fraction (SCF_max) in the four Siberian river basins. We compared the SCF_max from 2000 to 2016 with data in terms of monthly temperature and precipitation, night-time surface temperatures, the terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA), the normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI), and river runoff. Our results exhibit a decreasing trend in the April SCF_max values since 2000, largely in response to warming air temperatures in April. We identified snowmelt water as the dominant control on the observed increase in the runoff contribution in May across all four Siberian river basins. In addition, we detected that the interannual river runoff was predominantly controlled by interannual variations in the TWSA. The NDVI in June was strongly controlled by the timing of the snowmelt along with the surface air temperature and TWSA in June. The rate of increase in the freshwater flux from the four Siberian rivers decreased from 2000 to 2016, exhibiting large interannual variations corresponding to interannual variations in the TWSA. However, we identified a clear increase trend in the freshwater flux of ~4 km³/year when analysing the long-term 39-year historical record (1978–2016). Our results suggest that continued global warming will accelerate the transition towards the earlier timing of snowmelt and spring freshwater flux into the Arctic Ocean. Our findings also highlight the effects of earlier snowmelt on ecohydrological changes in the Northern Hemisphere.  相似文献   

基于MODIS数据的蒙古高原积雪时空变化研究          下载免费PDF全文

姜康  包刚  乌兰图雅  姜莉  王牧兰 《干旱区地理》2019,42(4):782-789

利用Terra卫星和Aqua卫星提供的2002年9月1日~2017年5月31日每日积雪覆盖产品MOD10C1和MYD10C1，提取蒙古高原积雪日数、积雪面积、积雪初日及积雪终日信息，得到蒙古高原积雪特征分布和变化趋势，同时，结合蒙古高原108个地面气象观测站的气温资料，分析研究区积雪变化特征和气温的关系。结果表明：（1）蒙古高原平均积雪日数在60～90 d之间，积雪初日主要分布在315～335 d之间，积雪终日大多集中在31～61 d之间，蒙古高原东部地区积雪初日有明显的提前趋势，西南地区积雪终日有明显的提前趋势。（2）积雪面积在积雪季内呈 “单峰型”，1月份为积雪面积最大月，年均积雪面积呈微弱的下降趋势。（3）最大积雪覆盖面积与温度具有明显的相关性，稳定积雪覆盖区的临界温度大概介于-11~-8 ℃之间。（4）温度是影响积雪特征变化的重要因素。  相似文献   

Comparison of methods for quantifying surface sublimation over seasonally snow‐covered terrain          下载免费PDF全文

Graham A. Sexstone  David W. Clow  David I. Stannard  Steven R. Fassnacht 《水文研究》2016,30(19):3373-3389

Snow sublimation can be an important component of the snow‐cover mass balance, and there is considerable interest in quantifying the role of this process within the water and energy balance of snow‐covered regions. In recent years, robust eddy covariance (EC) instrumentation has been used to quantify snow sublimation over snow‐covered surfaces in complex mountainous terrain. However, EC can be challenging for monitoring turbulent fluxes in snow‐covered environments because of intensive data, power, and fetch requirements, and alternative methods of estimating snow sublimation are often relied upon. To evaluate the relative merits of methods for quantifying surface sublimation, fluxes calculated by the EC, Bowen ratio–energy balance (BR), bulk aerodynamic flux (BF), and aerodynamic profile (AP) methods and their associated uncertainty were compared at two forested openings in the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Biases between methods are evaluated over a range of environmental conditions, and limitations of each method are discussed. Mean surface sublimation rates from both sites ranged from 0.33 to 0.36 mm day^?1, 0.14 to 0.37 mm day^?1, 0.10 to 0.17 mm day^?1, and 0.03 to 0.10 mm day^?1 for the EC, BR, BF and AP methods, respectively. The EC and/or BF methods are concluded to be superior for estimating surface sublimation in snow‐covered forested openings. The surface sublimation rates quantified in this study are generally smaller in magnitude compared with previously published studies in this region and help to refine sublimation estimates for forested openings in the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Relative importance of estuarine nurseries for species of the genus Diplodus (Sparidae) along the Portuguese coast     

C. Vinagre  H.N. CabralM.J. Costa 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2010

The relative importance of estuarine nursery areas for species of the genus Diplodus and their relations with several environmental variables was evaluated along the Portuguese coast. Nine estuarine systems were sampled with beam trawl surveys. Species of the genus Diplodus were only present in estuaries south of the Ria de Aveiro (40°38′). A latitudinal gradient of increasing species richness and abundance towards the south was found. Estuarine nurseries of Diplodus vulgaris, Diplodus sargus and Diplodus puntazzo were characterized by mud substrate, lower salinity and lower dissolved oxygen, with the exception of Ria Formosa. Diplodus bellottii was associated with estuaries with large areas and high volumes, the Tejo and the Sado. Diplodus bellottii nursery grounds were characterized by low depth. Diplodus annularis was associated with seagrass and saltmarsh habitats, certainly because it is the only species of the genus Diplodus which recruits exclusively to seagrass meadows. Diplodus annularis nursery grounds were also characterized by sand substrate, higher salinity and higher dissolved oxygen. Niche breath varied widely amongst species and location. Diplodus vulgaris generally presented the highest values of niche breath, except when D. bellottii was present. Niche overlap was not high, the highest value being that between D. vulgaris and D. sargus in the Mira estuary, with 76% spatial niche overlap. Considerations were made on these species progress towards the north in a climate warming context, taking into account the habitat associations described here.  相似文献   

Estimation of winter leaf area index and sky view fraction for snow modelling in boreal coniferous forests: consequences on snow mass and energy balance     

Sirpa Rasmus  David Gustafsson  Harri Koivusalo  Ari Laurén  Achim Grelle  Olli‐Kalle Kauppinen  Ola Lagnvall  Anders Lindroth  Kai Rasmus  Magnus Svensson  Per Weslien 《水文研究》2013,27(20):2876-2891

Leaf area index (LAI) and canopy coverage are important parameters when modelling snow process in coniferous forests, controlling interception and transmitting radiation. Estimates of LAI and sky view factor show large variability depending on the estimation method used, and it is not clear how this is reflected in the calculated snow processes beneath the canopy. In this study, the winter LAI and sky view fraction were estimated using different optical and biomass‐based approximations in several boreal coniferous forest stands in Fennoscandia with different stand density, age and site latitude. The biomass‐based estimate of LAI derived from forest inventory data was close to the values derived from the optical measurements at most sites, suggesting that forest inventory data can be used as input to snow hydrological modelling. Heterogeneity of tree species and site fertility, as well as edge effects between different forest compartments, caused differences in the LAI estimates at some sites. A snow energy and mass balance model (SNOWPACK) was applied to detect how the differences in the estimated values of the winter LAI and sky view fraction were reflected in simulated snow processes. In the simulations, an increase in LAI and a decrease in sky view fraction changed the snow surface energy balance by decreasing shortwave radiation input and increasing longwave radiation input. Changes in LAI and sky view fraction affected directly snow accumulation through altered throughfall fraction and indirectly snowmelt through the changed surface energy balance. Changes in LAI and sky view fraction had a greater impact on mean incoming radiation beneath the canopy than on other energy fluxes. Snowmelt was affected more than snow accumulation. The effect of canopy parameters on evaporation loss from intercepted snow was comparable with the effect of variation in governing meteorological variables such as precipitation intensity and air temperature. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Simulated runoff responses to land use in the middle and upstream reaches of Taoerhe River basin,Northeast China,in wet,average and dry years     

Lijuan Li  Dejuan Jiang  Xiyong Hou  Jiuyi Li 《水文研究》2013,27(24):3484-3494

Study on runoff variations and responses can lay a foundation for flood control, water allocation and integrated river basin management. This study applied the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model to simulate the effects of land use on annual and monthly runoff in the Middle and Upstream Reaches of Taoerhe River basin, Northeast China, under the wet, average and dry climate conditions through scenario analysis. The results showed that from the early 1970s to 2000, land use change with an increase in farmland (17.0%) and decreases in forest (10.6%), grassland (4.6%) and water body (3.1%) caused increases in annual and monthly runoff. This effect was more distinct in the wet season or in the wet year, suggesting that land use change from the early 1970s to 2000 may increase the flood potential in the wet season. Increases in precipitation and air temperature from the average to wet year led to annual and monthly (March and from June to December) runoff increases, while a decrease in precipitation and an increase in air temperature from the average to dry year induced decreases in annual and monthly (all months except March) runoff, and moreover, these effects were more remarkable in the wet season than those in the dry season. Due to the integrated effects of changing land use and climate conditions, the annual runoff increased (decreased) by 70.1 mm (25.2 mm) or 197.4% (71.0%) from the average to wet (dry) year. In conclusion, climate conditions, especially precipitation, played an important role in runoff variations while land use change was secondary over the study area, and furthermore, the effects of changes in land use and/or climate conditions on monthly runoff were larger in the wet season. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

古尔班通古特沙漠及周边区域冬季大气边界层高度对地表积雪的响应     

张梦肖  王豫  买买提艾力·买买提依明  刘永强  高佳程  肖婉秋  温聪  宋美琪  艾力亚尔·艾海提  王卫平  孟湘尧 《冰川冻土》2022,44(5):1558-1569

古尔班通古特沙漠是中国唯一冬季存在长期积雪的沙漠,在此特殊地理环境下,沙漠及周边区域冬季雪深和边界层高度的时空变化特征和相互关系尚未明确。本文利用1980—2019年SMMR（Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer）、SSM/I（Special Sensor Microwave/Imager）、SSMI/S（Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder）被动微波遥感雪深数据、古尔班通古特沙漠腹地雪深观测数据和ERA5再分析资料（the Fifth Generation ECMWF Reanalysis）边界层高度数据,分析了沙漠及周边区域冬季雪深和边界层高度的时空变化特征与相互关系。结果表明：古尔班通古特沙漠及周边区域冬季雪深年均值为8.45 cm,整体呈现东北部和南部积雪较深,其他区域积雪较浅并呈现出由沙漠中心区域向四周逐渐减少的特点,雪深在古尔班通古特沙漠及其东北、南边的邻近区域呈升高趋势,剩余地区呈下降趋势。古尔班通古特沙漠及周边区域冬季边界层高度年均值为105.54 m,呈现东南部和西北部高,中心沙漠区域、东北部、西南部较低的特点,边界层高度在沙漠及周边区域升高而其他区域降低。古尔班通古特沙漠的冬季雪深和大气边界层高度时空变化整体呈负相关,其中93.17%以上的沙漠区域呈负相关,平均相关系数为-0.32,最大相关系数绝对值为-0.58,空间相关系数为-0.42（P<0.05）。  相似文献   

甘肃省白龙江流域降雨型潜在泥石流危险性预报模型          下载免费PDF全文

王高峰  高幼龙  姚亚辉  田运涛  徐友宁  孙秀娟  李瑞冬  何元宵  邓兵  叶振南  陈宗良  郭宁 《中国地质》2022,49(3):732-748

【研究目的】泥石流灾害是白龙江流域分布广泛并常引起群死群伤的重大地质灾害,准确评价泥石流活动规模及其危险度,是泥石流危险性预警预报的前提,合理构建危险性预报模型是泥石流防灾减灾的关键。【研究方法】本文以研究区历史泥石流案例和对应降雨资料为基础数据,采用统计分析方法,通过分析形成泥石流关键地质环境条件及其相互关系,构建了白龙江流域潜在泥石流危险度定量评价模型,提出了两类泥石流危险级别临界判别模式。【研究结果】结果表明：（1）以泥石流活动规模、沟床平均比降、流域切割密度、不稳定沟床比例为判断因子的泥石流危险度动态定量计算模型,能快速准确预测未来不同工程情景和降雨频率工况下泥石流危险度;（2）影响降雨型泥石流发生的地形条件由流域面积、10°~40°斜坡坡度面积比、沟床平均纵比降等组成,降雨条件主要由泥石流爆发前的24 h累积降雨量、触发泥石流1 h降雨量或10 min降雨量等组成;（3）依据30条典型泥石流沟危险度计算结果,获得泥石流危险性临界判别值,提出了降雨型潜在泥石流危险性1 h预报模型（Ⅰ类）和10 min预报模型（Ⅱ类）,其中Ⅰ类模型高危险度以上泥石流预测精度大于87.5%,Ⅱ类模型中等危险度以上泥石流预测精度大于80%,而两类预报模型验证准确率为83.3%。【结论】研究成果为泥石流精准预警预报提供了技术支撑,对建立中小尺度泥石流实时化预警系统具有一定参考意义。创新点：通过确定与泥石流相对应关键地质环境因子,构建了泥石流危险度动态定量评价模型,依据泥石流危险性1 h和10 min临界判别模式可准确实现潜在泥石流预警预报。  相似文献   

二连盆地那仁地区铀成矿地质条件分析及找矿预测     

吕永华  苗爱生  王果  李曙光  高峥嵘 《现代地质》2022,36(2):662-671

经过近年来的区域评价工作,在内蒙古二连盆地那仁地区赛汉组上段发现了铀矿化信息,但由于工作程度较低,铀成矿条件分析及远景预测明显不足。通过对钻孔、地震等资料的综合整理,结合系统取样、分析测试结果,对那仁地区铀源、构造、地层、沉积相、氧化-还原及古气候条件进行了全面分析。研究认为该区铀源充足,在温暖半湿润—干热气候转变期,蚀源区大量的铀被活化、迁移;晚白垩世—新生代的构造活动提供了适宜氧化带发育的斜坡带及深部还原流体上逸通道;赛汉组上段一亚段辫状河三角洲砂体规模大,具备稳定的泥-砂-泥结构和有利的氧化-还原条件,是铀矿形成的理想空间。在铀成矿条件最佳部位预测Ⅰ级远景区1片,有望落实为新的铀矿床。  相似文献   

松辽盆地开鲁坳陷西部四方台组铀成矿条件及找矿方向     

佟术敏  封志兵  张婷婷  宁君  姜山  杨文达  柳东良  臧亚辉 《矿床地质》2023,42(6):1247-1265

开鲁坳陷位于松辽盆地西南部,通过系统地分析开鲁坳陷西部铀源、构造、岩性-岩相、砂体氧化-还原、水文地质和铀矿化特征,笔者认为区内四方台组具备砂岩型铀矿成矿的基本地质条件。经统计蚀源区和地层本身砂体铀含量,数据显示该区具备丰富的内外双重铀源。深部还原流体可沿主干断层直接进入四方台组,这些断层也为地下水排泄提供通道。四方台组发育冲积扇、辫状河沉积体系,泥-砂-泥结构稳定,具备良好的地下水补-径-排和水中铀水文地质条件。文章从氧化带、砂体Th/U值变化规律、Fe²⁺/Fe³⁺值及有机碳含量分布特征等方面阐述其与铀成矿的关系。铀成矿主要受铀源、构造、岩性岩相及砂体氧化-还原等关键因素控制,各种成矿要素匹配良好,具备形成中型及以上砂岩型铀成矿潜力。  相似文献